Bitcoin Investors Facing Challenges Amid Price Volatility
Bitcoin investors are currently navigating through a challenging period as they seek to recover from a recent two-month price low for BTC. Despite a 6.2% rebound from this week’s low, the recovery has been hindered by strong resistance levels.
Moving Average Threatens BTC Price Recovery
Bitcoin has experienced a 23% drop from its recent all-time high, making the path to recovery more challenging. BitMEX Co-Founder Arthur Hayes has predicted that Bitcoin will be trading below $70,000 by August, emphasizing the need to surpass the $60,000 mark convincingly. However, resistance areas continue to pose obstacles for bullish momentum.
- Bitcoin’s 100-day moving average (MA), currently at $59,930 as of May 3, has historically provided market support since October 2023.
- The recent dip below the MA suggests a potential downtrend, with bulls facing significant challenges at this level.
Keith Alan highlighted the importance of reclaiming the 100-Day Moving Average for Bitcoin bulls, as it could trigger a short squeeze, potentially boosting prices.
Short-Term Holders and Resistance Levels
Another hurdle for BTC’s price recovery is the short-term holder realized price (STH-RP), a key support line for bull markets. STH-RP represents the aggregate cost basis of Bitcoin holders with shorter holding periods, typically 155 days or less.
- As of May 1, STH-RP stood at $59,684, forming a new trendline close to the $60,000 mark.
- Cubic Analyst CEO Caleb Franzen has identified STH-RP as one of the resistance levels to overcome, setting a personal benchmark of a daily close above $61,000 for a bullish signal.

Ian is a cryptocurrency enthusiast blending humor with professionalism. With an engineering background and a storyteller's heart, he simplifies the blockchain world with sharp analysis and a touch of wit. At Cryptowire, he brings his unique perspective to make digital financial innovation accessible to all.
